Or why you can probably predict the value of bitcoin very accurately


Anyone who seriously studies Bitcoin, asks why it is so successful, and what comes next will hardly get past the stock-to-flow theory of PlanB@100trillionUSD [1].

If you don’t know this theory yet, you should take a closer look at it here: PlanBTC.com.

This theory explains in simple mathematical formulas the intrinsic value of Bitcoin. Bitcoin is viewed here as a scarce commodity that is highly sought after similar to gold, follows the laws of the market, but serves little purpose other than a monetary investment.

This theory answers a question I had been asking myself for quite some time. I…

Concrete bitcoin formula for the hyper-exponential growth forecast


As I detailed in my story “A Little Math and a Bitcoin Forecast” [1], the current bitcoin price follows a mathematical formula.
Now that enough values have been added to the formula, I was able to update it accordingly and adjust the parameters.
Contrary to what I initially thought, the current price does not follow a double exponential function, but it’s a triple one.

The Formula

The general form of the formula is:

USD/BTC = BTC(SF)@halving * e ^ (at (bt² + 1))

BTC(SF)@halving : is the initial Stock-To-Flow Bitcoin price at the time…

Oder warum man den Wert des Bitcoins vermutlich sehr genau vorausberechnen kann

[The english version can be found here.]


Wer sich ernsthaft mit dem Bitcoin beschäftigt, sich fragt warum er so erfolgreich ist und wie er sich entwickeln wird, der wird wohl kaum an der Stock-To-Flow Theorie von PlanB@100trillionUSD [1] vorbeikommen.

Wer diese Theorie noch nicht kennt, sollte sie sich hier einmal näher damit befassen: PlanBTC.com

Diese Theorie erklärt in einfachen mathematischen Formeln den inneren Wert von Bitcoin. Bitcoin wird hier wie ein knapper werdender Rohstoff betrachtet, der ähnlich dem Gold sehr begehrt ist, den Gesetzen des Marktes folgt, aber kaum einem anderen Zweck als der Geldanlage dient.

Diese Theorie ist die…


I’m just a guy with a computer that likes playing around with numbers

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